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Evaluation of efficiency of hedging strategies with option portfolios for buyers of the currency US dollar/Colombian peso

Gutierrez-Salazar, ManuelaJiménez-Gómez, MiguelAcevedo-Prins, Natalia
IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) (Sinta 1)Vol. 0 No. 01 Juni 2022
DOI10.11591/ijai.v11.i2.pp572-581

Abstrak

This paper evaluates the efficiency to mitigate the exchange rate risk of nine hedging strategies with financial options. Strategies to hedging the purchase of US dollar Colombian peso (USDCOP) by importers in Colombia were raised. In this way, the traditional strategy with call options and eight strategies with investment portfolios were evaluated. These portfolios of options for hedge are offered by financial entities in Colombia. These nine hedged scenarios were compared with the unhedged scenario that corresponds to the foreign exchange risk exposure of importers. The USDCOP currencies were modeled with a mean reversion with jumps models, option premiums were valued with the black-scholes method and the best hedging strategy was determined through a Monte Carlo simulation. According to the results obtained, the nine hedging strategies manage to mitigate risk, but the most efficient was the option portfolio called collar.

Kata Kunci

exchange rate riskhedgemonte carlooptions portfoliostochastic processesvalue at risk

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